So how did Casey do it? In. PGA DFS Delivery: Arnold Palmer Invitational. A slew of long Par 4s and long par-3s require long irons into multi-tiered greens at different elevation. At the Genesis Invitational, Matsuyama gained strokes putting in three of his last four appearances. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. 90-110 yards. Are they right? Naturally, Im looking their way in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds as well. What "TPC Impossible" is, though, is it's actually a composite course of the most difficult holes, by number, on the PGA Tour in 2021. Even a flawless shot might result in a double bogey! There are 11 players who rank top-40 in SG: ARG, Scrambling Gained, and Bogey Avoidance: Max Homa, Patrick Cantlay, Tommy Fleetwood, Sahith Theegala, Hideki Matsuyama, Tom Kim, Seamus Power, JJ Spaun, Andrew Putnam, Aaron Baddeley, and Mackenzie Hughes. Ideally, the tour would like firm and fast fairways which would give 30 to 40 yards of roll out. Touts are lame. Following a busy West Coast Swing, the Arnold Palmer Invitational has not always ushered in as many of the elites as weve grown used to seeing at the Genesis Invitational. . Last year, the proximity buckets that ranked above TOUR average were 150-175 yards, 175-200 yards, and 200 yard plus. Colt Knost and the other PGA Tour pros that called Royal Oaks Golf Club in Dallas home used to call Scottie Scheffler their little shadow. pic.twitter.com/FnuG8URegM. Its a compelling converging of the games best in one place, as Rahm is undoubtedly the best golfer in the world at the moment, McIlroy is a past winner of the event with dominant course history, and Scheffler is your defending champion, spring-boarding himself into the conversation among golfs elite after his 2022 victory. PGA Tour player approach shots: 100-125 yards GIR: 74.59% Proximity from the fairway: 20'0 Proximity from the rough: 30'3 PGA Tour player approach shots: 150-175 yards GIR: 63.95% The Twitter handle is a joke. So, Sand Saves will be an important stat to track this week. According to 2009 LPGA statistics, the average female professional's driver carries 220 yards and travels 246 total yards. Riviera CC also features a number of elevation changes and is heavily bunkered both around the fairways and green-side complexes. The average shot hit with a driver carried 260 yards and traveled a total of 287.3 yards, including the roll. The Twitter handle is a joke. Go to the range and map out your 50%-100% distances with every club. Note, he has a 10th place finish here at Bay Hill, a 17th in Scottsdale, and lost to Justin Thomas in a playoff at Southern Hills in the 2022 PGA Championship. The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational follows the Sentry Tournament of Champions, WM Phoenix Open, and Genesis Invitational as the fourth Designated, Elevated event of the season, and third over the last four weeks. Standing over 7,400 yards, Bay Hill will force a high volume of approaches from 200+ yards, and features some of the thickest rough on TOUR. So 150 times 36 equals 5,400. An even more loaded field is in store for the 2023 Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles. From one elevated event to another, the party was only just getting started in Phoenix. That checks out considering hes gained strokes putting in 11 of his 14 career appearances. Francesco Molinari a member at Riviera CC and top-10 finisher in this event in 2021 was also dominant in his victory at the 2018 Quicken Loans National at TPC Potomac. To nobodys surprise, Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy rank very high for me statistically this week but with their prices so short, Ive gone a little further down the board for my selections. What makes Bay Hill so great is the diversity of leaderboards weve seen here. 1 on Tour in Par 4 Scoring and 2nd in Par 5 Scoring. Its also his first non-Major start since the 2020 ZOZO Championship. Will Zalatoris in difficult conditions. Will he even make the cut? Week 2 of the Florida Swing takes us right back to a tournament with elevated status. On the other hand, I think theres just too much length on par-4s to lean on your typical fairway finders here. There should be a clear gap in Arnold Palmer Invitational odds between the top three and the rest of the field this week. After McIlroy, the rest of the top 10 in Course History includesTyrrell Hatton, Francesco Molinari, Sungjae Im, Jason Day, Adam Scott, Scottie Scheffler, Matt Fitzpatrick, Justin Rose, and Tommy Fleetwood. It is highlighted by the big-three of Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler. Played many 450 yard par 4 holes. We hate touts. Piecing this together, Im looking to hone in on players who are above-average in SG: APP, Prox 150+, SG: ARG, SG: T2G (Difficult Conditions), Course & Comp Course History, and Total Weighted Putting. One of the biggest problems that golfers have when it comes to distances is that they have difficulty finding an accurate number. Lots of my shots with the 7 iron has a smash factor of 1.50-1.51. It's much easier to play your second shot 150 yards back on the fairway than from 120 yards out in the rough. But the ideal player for Riviera CC should have total driving be a strength of their game. Riviera CC is one of the most iconic venues on the PGA TOUR schedule. Scrambling GainedandSG: Short Gamemake the biggest jump compared to TOUR average, each falling inside the top 10. Its broken out by projected pricing/odds tier for Draft Kings. I expect Will Zalatoris to be the most popularly bet player this week. having already secured his 2022/23 card with a stunning 50-foot birdie putt on the last hole of the Korn Ferry Tour Championship - enough to . It appears your browser may be outdated. The top 10 players in SG: ARG are Thomas, Piercy, Donald, Matsuyama, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Byeong Hun An, Taylor Montgomery, Kurt Kitayama, Brendon Todd, and Patrick Rodgers. Now he arrives more in the role of an underdog with the price to go along with it, but at a course at which hes experienced very high level success. These firm and fast Poa greens also give players fits every year. Professional golfers with the longest average driving distance on the PGA tour in 2022 (in yards) [Graph], PGA, August 24 . The lack of wind last week at the Honda Classic was really an outlier versus what we typically see on the Florida Swing. Tony Finau can confirm. This places a particular emphasis on Proximity from 150+, especially with angled doglegs which encourage less than driver off the tee. Distance off the tee is never necessarily a disadvantage, but the actual driving distance is 16% lower than the average TOUR course at only 282.5 yards. A second consecutive elevated event is the perfect way to fill the void left behind for casual sports bettors, especially those with a little extra Super Bowl winnings in their accounts to spare. on the PGA TOUR. Course Fit Tool Are certain skill sets such as distance, or accuracy favoured at specific courses? Ever heard of him? Touts are lame. Most of the recent difficult scoring venues like TPC Potomac, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Torrey Pines (South), Innisbrook (Copperhead), and Bay Hill should serve as strong comps to simulate the all-around tee-to-green game required to contend. Sand Wedge. A proper mixture of distance and accuracy is the ticket here. It appears your browser may be outdated. Its been the opposite for Zalatoris since returning from injury, however, as hes shot his best round of the tournament on Sunday each time hes played four rounds in 2023. Putting is usually a concern for Matsuyama backers, but on Poa greens, he is actually a positive putter over the course of his career. He visited Augusta National two weeks ago and played 36 holes. About 75% of approach shots come from beyond 150 yards. America East Tournament Odds: Vermont To Claim Consecutive Titles? Scott credited his repeated success at Riviera to his comfort on Poa greens. This is the distance from the tee to the first bounce and does not include subsequent roll. Riviera CC is always known to keep scoring in check and reward shot makers with well-rounded skillsets from tee to green. Even they will struggle to hit a high percentage of fairways with the firm conditions, undulated runoffs, and intermittent pick ups in wind. In recent years, weve also seen the Genesis Invitational serve as a stage for young and burgeoning stars like Homa, Joaquin Niemann, Cameron Young, and Sam Burns. TPC Potomac stands out, with top 10 finishers at the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship featuring many perennial Riviera standouts. 84 sand bunkers dot the layout and water comes into play on 9 of the 18 holes. 4 Reasons Why Your Short Game Doesn't Improve, and How To Fix It . Its a beautiful oasis and architectural marvel, built into the cityscape of Los Angeles. But even then, the very best putters on Tour are averaging just over 80' of made putts per round. However, imposes one of the most stern challenges on the PGA TOUR nonetheless. From short approach shots (60-100 yards) the average proximity is shown below from 3 different lie types: fairway, rough and bunker. So, we should expect some patience from players to battle for four tough days of golf. A cold putter has led to some disappointing recent finishes, but McIlroy continues to rank No. Is he going to win? To score around here, every facet of a player's game is tested to the maximum. This weeks invitational will feature a field of 131 with no Open qualifiers or replacements for players who withdraw. Long game shots (those starting over 100 yards from the hole) explain about two-thirds of the variability in scores among golfers on the PGA TOUR. About one-third of approaches will come from beyond 200 yards, and a significant 70% of approaches will come from over 150 yards. Scheffler's winning 72-hole score of minus-5 last year was the second in three years but also . Matsuyama has six top-20 finishes over the last two years between The Farmers, The Masters, Arnold Palmer Invitational, and U.S. Open at The Country Club. Scroll to the bottom of this article to compare complete outright odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks. Both are difficult tests that favor distance over precision off the tee with a classical and tree-lined look, and share the Tom Fazio influence after his renovations to Riviera in the 2000s. The Florida Swing is a cluttered stretch on the PGA TOUR schedule. The fairways have been made wider and longer but the rough is about as close to U.S. 1 in the field in terms of SG: T2G in comp conditions. Whether good or bad, we dont know how many more times well get to see Tiger play in a professional event, so I cant wait to see how he looks this week. Some of the bigger names in this field that check that box are Gary. They can hit 5-iron shots 195 to 205 yards; 6-iron shots 180 to 190 yards; 7-iron shots 165 to 180 yards; 8-iron shots 150 to 170 yards; and 9-iron shots 140 to 155 yards. The wind at the Genesis Invitational today is absolutely insane!pic.twitter.com/TMz44EvdDq. Big Sky Tournament Odds: Is Two-Seed Montana State The Rightful Favorite? Another Method: Use Average 5-Iron Distance. For the week, Casey ranked 9th in driving accuracy, 6th in strokes gained off the tee and 9th in SG around the green. Both courses are over 7,400 yards with an advantage to bombers, they feature thick and penal rough throughout, and have firm and fast Bermuda greens. You cant simply cross players off from contending if they are below average in Distance, Approach, or Putting. You cant bomb-and-gouge Riviera given all the elevation changes and forced layups from angular tree lines. (These players ranked 2nd, 1st, and 9th in SG approach, adjusted.) More important than how far you hit the ball is to know your own distances. That group includes Homa, Hahn, McIlroy, Matt Fitzpatrick, Cameron Yong, and Griffin. He was excellent two weeks ago in Los Angeles and I just have to believe his game will travel well here in Orlando. easily enough to nab his PGA Tour card for 2022/23. Now - bear in mind the PGA tour players are playing tough courses with pins cut tight to the edges, so from 180, they might well be aiming it 20 feet away from the hole. Is Tiger going to win this event? On Tour, Jason Day ranks 11th in Total Driving his accuracy has greatly improved, hes 33rd in Greens in Regulation, and 4th in Scrambling. Mashing those comp courses together, the top-10 players in SG: TOT are McIlroy, Morikawa, Zalatoris, Schauffele, Scheffler, Fitzpatrick, Jon Rahm, Matsuyama, Thomas, and Keegan Bradley, illustrating a theme of predominantly regular Major contenders. Theres a particularly notable overlap from the three lefties in Watson, Mickelson, and Weir. Riviera CC is the site of Tiger Woods first PGA TOUR start back at the 1992 Los Angeles Open. The No. Not many PGA Tour events these days feature 4 of rough plus green complexes that can run as firm as 12 on the stimpmeter if the elements allow. Golf course length of 18-hole course ranges from 6,500 to 6,900 yards which is approximately 5,900 to 6,400 meters. Quail Hollow shares the motley crew of Homa, Holmes,and Hahn.